Happy New Year 2026: What Today’s Real Estate Data Means for Buyers & Sellers

As we kick off 2026, the real estate market looks more balanced, more strategic, and filled with opportunity — and the data supports it. After several years of rapid changes driven by interest rates and low inventory, the market is entering a phase that rewards preparation and smart decision-making.

Home Sales Are Expected to Rise

According to the National Association of REALTORS®:

  • Existing-home sales are projected to increase by approximately 14% in 2026 compared to 2025.

This signals renewed buyer activity and increased movement — especially for well-priced, well-presented homes.

Mortgage Rates Are Stabilizing

After peaking above 7% in recent years:

  • The average 30-year fixed mortgage rate is entering 2026 around 6.1%–6.3%, offering buyers more breathing room and purchasing power.

While rates remain higher than historic lows, even small reductions significantly impact monthly payments — particularly in higher-priced markets.

Home Prices Continue to Grow (More Sustainably)

Major housing forecasts show steady appreciation:

  • Realtor.com projects national home prices to rise about 2.2% in 2026.

  • Zillow economists anticipate modest price growth with fewer markets seeing declines.

This creates a healthier environment where buyers aren’t rushed, and sellers can price confidently without relying on bidding wars.

Inventory Is Improving

After years of tight supply:

  • For-sale inventory is expected to increase by nearly 9% year-over-year in 2026.

More inventory means better options for buyers and more competition — making pricing, staging, and marketing more important than ever for sellers.

California & Los Angeles Market Snapshot

  • California home sales are forecast to rise roughly 2% in 2026.

  • The statewide median home price is projected to reach approximately $905,000.

  • Los Angeles County continues to see stable pricing around $850,000+, with improved inventory and steady demand in prime neighborhoods.

What This Means for 2026

  • Buyers gain leverage through better selection and negotiation opportunities.

  • Sellers benefit from increasing activity — if they prepare and price strategically.

  • Investors see a rebalanced market that still supports long-term appreciation and wealth building.

The takeaway? 2026 is not about rushing — it’s about strategy. Those who plan early and rely on real data will be positioned to succeed.

Here’s to a new year, new opportunities, and confident real estate decisions.

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